Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange, has officially launched its prediction market product Gemini Predictions nationwide — it is now operational in all 50 states across the United States. The platform allows users to engage in predictive trading around real-world events such as election results, economic data, sports events, and technology releases, with "whether an event will occur" as the underlying asset, enabling near-instant order matching and fully transparent market data.
Gemini emphasizes that Predictions are built on a compliant framework, with all transactions operating in a regulated environment. The platform uses off-chain order matching and on-chain settlement, ensuring speed while guaranteeing the immutability of results. Users can participate directly via the web or the iOS mobile app, with a simple and intuitive interface that makes it easy for even newcomers to the prediction market to get started quickly.
To accelerate user adoption, Gemini is currently offering a limited-time zero-fee promotion — no transaction fees are charged for opening positions, closing positions, or withdrawing funds. This strategy clearly aims to challenge existing prediction market platforms (such as Polymarket) and seize the initiative in the emerging "event-driven finance" sector, leveraging Gemini's strengths in compliance and user experience.
As the co-founder of Gemini, Tyler Winklevoss said: "Prediction markets are not just tools for speculation, but also barometers of collective wisdom. We hope to provide the public with a safe, transparent, and legal channel, allowing everyone to 'bet' on the future of the world."
With the increasing connection between AI and real-world events (such as topics like "when will GPT-5 be released" and "will Sora replace film production" becoming popular prediction targets), the full launch of Gemini Predictions may push prediction markets from niche experiments to mainstream financial scenarios. And this game about "future facts" is now open to users across the entire country.
