人形机器人从蹒跚学步到打拳跳舞仅用几年，从能动到能干活临界点正加速逼近。7月22日，在西安举行的2026年世界互联网大会数字丝路发展论坛上，宇树科技CEO王兴兴提出激进时间表：具身智能的“ChatGPT时刻”最快两三年到来，届时机器人将真正具备工作能力，跨越实际应用的高门槛。
银河通用机器人CTO王鹤在2026世界人工智能大会上预测，具身智能2028年前将迎来重大突破，表现媲美ChatGPT。基础模型经海量数据训练，对未专门训练任务可达70%-80%成功率，堪比早期数字模型。
宇树科技陈立在2026亚布力论坛上表示，具身智能正处爆发前夜，预计2-5年将实现突破。其“ChatGPT时刻”标志为：机器人能在80%陌生场景中，凭语音文字指令精准完成约80%任务。他预判这一节点临近。
初创团队Genesis AI发布首个机器人基础模型GENE-26.5，标志着通用机器人在高难度非结构化任务上取得突破。演示中，机器人展现惊人灵活性与自主性，能完成单手打蛋、解魔方等精细任务，提升了对力度、逻辑、空间感知及节奏精准度的控制能力。
Openai
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Input tokens/M
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Output tokens/M
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Context Length
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